Varvara Lepchenko vs Alevtina Ibragimova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When examining second serve performance, over the past six months, it is evident that Lepchenko has demonstrated a superior edge by securing 43.85% of points, compared to Ibragimova's 35.67%. This statistic is crucial, as there's a significant correlation between second serve proficiency and match outcome accuracy.

In terms of return game performance, Ibragimova has outshone Lepchenko by winning 49.32% of points on their opponent's second serve, while Lepchenko trails with 44.77%. However, when it comes to first serve returns, the statistics are quite close, with Ibragimova at 34.1% and Lepchenko slightly behind at 33.27%. Analyzing return statistics can provide insight into which player may have the upper hand in this head-to-head clash.

Under pressure, the ability to save breakpoints plays a pivotal role. Lepchenko has demonstrated resilience by saving 52.38% of breakpoints, whereas Ibragimova's save rate stands at 45.33%. This capability is particularly relevant for in-game betting predictions. Moreover, Ibragimova has been more effective in converting breakpoint opportunities, with a 37.5% conversion rate, compared to Lepchenko's 34.54%.

Assessing their overall performance over the past year, Lepchenko slightly edges out by winning 59.52% of her matches, while Ibragimova's win rate is 55.71%. This is further reflected in their respective win-loss records of 50/34 and 39/31. It's also crucial to examine the quality of their opposition: Lepchenko's opponents have had an average rank of 227.98, a higher quality compared to Ibragimova's average opponent rank of 283.7.

The preferred surface adds an interesting dimension to the analysis. Both players boast their best career win percentages on clay; however, Ibragimova's win rate is higher at 66%, compared to Lepchenko's 58%. Conversely, Ibragimova struggles more on indoor hard courts, winning only 58%, while Lepchenko's weakest performances are on grass, with a win percentage of 39%.

The event level they predominantly participate in also influences their win rates. In the last year, Ibragimova has primarily competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, with a win rate of 52.38%, whereas Lepchenko has played the majority of her matches at the same level but with a higher success rate of 60.38%.

If this matchup progresses to a deciding set, live betting statistics reveal that Lepchenko has a notable advantage, having won 52% of deciding sets in the last 12 months, compared to Ibragimova's 40%. Considering these insights and analyses, Lepchenko emerges as the likely favorite to win this encounter based on her superior stats in several critical areas.